Football Betting

5 Expert Football Betting Tips From A Pro Gambler

Posted on by Mike

For anyone wanting to make a profit betting, I have long extolled the virtues of developing your own expertise in a niche area – be it a niche sport, league or betting market.

The logic behind this is strong as bookmakers have a very limited resource pool in terms of the number of odds compilers they employ, making it impossible for them to be experts in every betting field.

In fact many bookies these days simply base their prices on those listed at Betfair or by using set formula to form their odds – effectively seeing them operate blind with no knowledge of any of the intricacies of each betting market.

So if you know a decent amount about a sport or niche market – you could be sitting on a potential betting goldmine to beat the bookies with.

There is perhaps no better example of this than with the non-league expert tipster Skeeve, who has made a profit betting since 2006 in his chosen leagues.

A shrewder, more experienced ‘niche bettor’ you will struggle to find and for the first time in this article, he has shared 5 of his very best, expert football betting tips for those of you keen to make money on non-league football

Skeeve’s 5 Expert Non-League Football Betting Tips

1)      Pick a league. No, not eight leagues – if you have a busy lifestyle, a league or two are more than enough. You’ll have to know the language of course – if you’re trying to focus on the Scottish 2nd Division and you only speak German, well, I won’t be subscribing to your service, thank you very much.

2)      Don’t take your eyes off the stats. I use the statto.com website and that, combined with my own excel sheets, is pretty much everything I need as far as stats are concerned. When you’re looking  at the stats for a team that’s playing away from home, you don’t just look at their overall away form or at their away form in the last six games.

Look at their results away at struggling teams or away at top ten teams. Look at their midweek games only or their Saturday games only. Look at the games they played in heavy rain and in a strong wind. Look at the games they were forced to play without their key midfielder. As I said, every little thing is the most important thing.

3)      Don’t think online editions of local papers are useless. That’s where you find out who’s still injured, who’s returned to training and who’s been made available for a loan. That’s where you read a pre-match interview with the manager and a post-match interview with the skipper. That’s where you notice the game might not go ahead at all because of the torrential rain in that part of England.

4)      Don’t ignore the fans’ forums. That’s where you hear the latest rumours. That’s where you read about fans’ mood. That’s where you find out how much longer is their centre-half going to be out with a nasty injury. That’s where you feel stupid for being a researcher and not a fan. Getting ahead of the bookies on team news is extremely important, especially in the lower leagues. I think I can identify key players well enough and I always laugh when I notice the BBC forget about a couple of suspensions or don’t mention the new signings, stuff like that. That’s why official websites, online editions of local papers and fans’ forums are very important

5)      Take a look at all match highlights you can find. It’s one thing to read the match reports written from two different perspectives, but when you see the actual ten-minute highlights, it’s almost like seeing all characters from your novel come to life at the same time. There’s plenty of match highlights available on the internet and, if you’re keeping an eye on fans’ forums, local papers and official websites, you’ll know where to find what you’re looking for.

Learn More With A Smart Betting Club Membership

If you enjoyed this article, you can find more like this in the in-depth Pro Gambler Blueprint supplied to all new Smart Betting Club members, which provides everything you need to set up your betting properly.

This 100-page blueprint features advice and guidance from seasoned professional gamblers in seven easy to follow sections:

  • Part One: Solid Foundations – Avoid common newbie mistakes by getting your betting off on the right foot.
  • Part Two: Money Matters – Betting bankroll management and how to maximise your profits
  • Part Three: Mindset and What Makes A Winner– Key lessons on what really matters from betting pro’s
  • Part Four: What To Bet On – Football and Horse Racing absolute essentials
  • Part Five: Being Realistic – Tipsters or Systems? How to decide what suits you best
  • Part Six: You’re The Boss – How to develop your own betting niche and become your own expert
  • Part Seven: Bookie Bashing – How to keep under the bookmaker’s radar

 

Subscribe Now & Gain Instant Access!

We have over 11 years experience of helping people make money betting and have plenty on offer to help you make 2017 your best punting year yet.

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Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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How To Bet On Corners – Part 1

Posted on by Mike

One of the best ways to make money when it comes to football betting is to specialise. That is – to drill down into ‘niche’ betting areas where the bookies are vulnerable as they simply don’t have the time to check the odds on every market.

For example, take a look at any Premier League football game with one of the major bookmakers. Each game often has a bewildering array of sub-markets beyond just the simple Team X to beat Team Y traditional bet. Then multiply those markets by the number of games in an average weekend – the amount of markets to bet upon goes into the thousands!

With so many markets the bookies get lazy and use computers and formulas to help them price up some of the more obscure bets – leaving them vulnerable to a shrewd punter with an eye for value!

One such area they are particularly vulnerable in and ripe for exploitation is that of ‘Corners Betting’, which a number of our experts at SBC have been tapping into of late. Which is why we have this first part of a 3 part guide on ‘how to bet on corners’ to share with you.

If you like this article, be sure to check out our full corners betting insight, including our full strategy to make it work and interviews with 4 corner betting experts in Smart Betting Club Issue #67.

Betting On Corners – An Introduction

For those of you new to betting on corners, it’s worth running through some of the basics to get you up to speed.

To help with this we will use the Genoa V Inter game from the 13th December. The best prices are as follows:

Genoa: 3.50
Inter: 2.32
Draw: 3.35

Next, lets look at the corners betting for this game and one one of the most popular markets – the team to enjoy the most corners during the game. As you might imagine, this is a simple bet on Team A to get more corners than Team B. Although it is worth noting that if corners tally is equal at the end of the game, this bet will lose.

Looking at the markets for most corners, three bookies had priced this up and the best prices for each team were as follows:

Genoa: 2.35
Inter: 2.1
Draw: 7.0

Comparing these prices on most corners to the market on which team will win, the bookies seem to think that Genoa have a much greater chance (2.35) of winning the most corners market than the actual game (where they are 3.50).

Naturally we have to factor in the fact a draw in the most corners market is much less likely than a draw in the actual scoreline, yet that is quite a drop. There must have been something about Genoa and their style of play (and no doubt historical record when it comes to corners to see them such a short price).

Indeed, this short price on Genoa to win the most corners was correct as although Inter won the game 1-0 in a fairly dominant performance, Genoa still went on to win on corners 6 – 4.

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Corners Handicaps Explained

For some fixtures, especially those whereby there is a strong favourite, you also might like to consider betting in the Corners Handicap markets.

To illustrate when such a bet might be appropriate lets study this fixture between Tottenham and Sunderland, where the home side were strong favourites at just 2/5 to win the game.

Reflecting the expected dominance from Spurs, Bet365 also priced up the most corners market as follows: 1/7 Spurs, 11/2 Sunderland and the draw at 10/1.

Many punters quite rightly are not keen to take on 1/7 favourites too regularly and so in this instance, you may want to consider betting with a handicap, that is to say to give Sunderland a head start on corners, which levels out the price and playing field. This can be found in the ‘Corner Handicap’ market, which is also fairly popular.

In the same Spurs- Sunderland game, Bet365 offer the following Corners Handicap market:

In this instance, you are effectively starting the game with Sunderland 4 corners ahead of Spurs. You can then take 21/20 on either Sunderland or Spurs with that in mind or on the 13/2 on it being level pegging.

Often times, this can be a fairly decent market to play if as we see above the outright most corners market is offering stingy odds.

Name: Justin
Joined: June 2022
Betting on: Horse Racing, Golf, Greyhounds, Tennis & Football
Following: 10 tipsters

I came across SBC on Twitter and started listening to the podcasts and reading the free reviews available. The reviews were more detailed than anything I had come across before and I had learned quite a bit from the podcast guests.

Read More
Name: Stu
Joined: January 2021
Betting on: Horse Racing and Golf
Following: 4 Tipsters

I felt safer, much safer investigating other successful tipsters as all services offered have been proofed and have up to date records of performance.

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Name: Serge
Joined: October 2019
Betting on: Horse Racing, Golf, Basketball primarily, some Football (both American & European)
Following: About 15 tipsters across all sports

I joined SBC in order to become profitable with my betting portfolio. For many years I was taking lots of action based on hunches and outdated trends that don’t actually matter, and I was losing. Joining SBC was the first step for me to become a profitable bettor / advantage player.

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Name: Tom
Joined: June 2019
Betting on: Horse Racing, Golf and Tennis
Following: Currently 2 tipsters, scaled down from 6

I joined SBC as I come from an analytical background with my job and simply put the analysis they do on tipping services is second to none.

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Name: Markus
Joined: December 2019
Betting on: Racing, Football, Basketball, Golf and US-Sports
Following: 30-35 different tipsters or services.

I think I am in a pretty unique position, because I work as bookmaker/trader in my country as my ‘normal job’ for a regular income and also doing betting more or less full-time(which is my investment capital).

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Name: D.G.
Joined: 6 years ago
Betting on: Football, basketball, tennis and horse racing
Following: 8 tipsters

If you are serious about your betting and want to take it to the next level, SBC is a necessary step.

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Total Corner Markets

Another very popular angle for corners betting relates to the number in each game, with the ‘total corners’ market worth exploring.

The majority of games finish with between 9 to 11 corners, so it’s normal to see markets based on over or under these figures.

For example, take the St Johnstone V Aberdeen game, where you can see a whole range of spreads on Oddschecker depending on what bet you wish to take…

There are plenty of markets on show here to illustrate the choice on offer to you such as…

Under 9 corners – Ladbrokes are offering the best priced 7/4 that there will be less than 9 corners.
Under 10 corners – Skybet, Blue Square & 888 Sport are offering 11/10 there will be less than 10 corners.
Over 10 corners – Bet365 are offering evens that there will be more than 10 corners.
Under 11 corners – Victor Chandler offering only 7/10 on less than 11 corners
Over 11 corners – Sporting Bet are offering 7/4 on over 11 corners in this market

There are also a range of other bets you can take such as exactly 10 corners or spreads such as between 9-11 corners with Sportingbet at 6/4.

The shrewd of you may notice the differences in prices between a number of bookies in this market. For example in the over 11 corners market, Paddy Power offer only evens, whilst Ladbrokes and Sporting bet go 13/8 and 7/4. Making it clear how important it can be to shop around when betting on corners.

Often you will find a whole range of other markets if you investigate further, so there are plenty of areas to specialise further such as:

  • Half with most corners
  • Most corners in first/second half
  • Race to 3 corners
  • Half corners over/unders
  • Total corners – home or away team

My advice though would be to steer clear of more random markets such as First or Last Corner or even the Time of first corner as these play into the bookies hands. It would be very hard to predict such an outcome.

—————–

Learn More With A Smart Betting Club Membership

If you enjoyed this article, you can find more like this in the in-depth Pro Gambler Blueprint supplied to all new Smart Betting Club members, which provides everything you need to set up your betting properly.

This 100-page blueprint features advice and guidance from seasoned professional gamblers in seven easy to follow sections:

  • Part One: Solid Foundations – Avoid common newbie mistakes by getting your betting off on the right foot.
  • Part Two: Money Matters – Betting bankroll management and how to maximise your profits
  • Part Three: Mindset and What Makes A Winner– Key lessons on what really matters from betting pro’s
  • Part Four: What To Bet On – Football and Horse Racing absolute essentials
  • Part Five: Being Realistic – Tipsters or Systems? How to decide what suits you best
  • Part Six: You’re The Boss – How to develop your own betting niche and become your own expert
  • Part Seven: Bookie Bashing – How to keep under the bookmaker’s radar

 

Subscribe Now & Gain Instant Access!

We have over 11 years experience of helping people make money betting and have plenty on offer to help you make 2017 your best punting year yet.

moneyBackBanner3

 

Fink Tank Value System Update: Big Winners landed

Posted on by Dan

It’s been an interesting festive period to say the least with the big teams  appearing to join Wayne Rooney in focusing more on the festive cheer than their hard working opponents.

Most of the top teams were over turned in the festive/ new year period with last night’s Man U defeat the icing on the cake. It’s been a bad period for Alex Ferguson, but the Fink Tank value system has had a cracking time. Here are some of the bets it picked out recently:

  • Villa to beat Chelsea away at 14.8.
  • Blackburn to beat Man U away at 21.0
  • Sunderland to beat Man City at home at 7.0
  • Fulham to beat Arsenal at 4.33
  • Bolton to beat Everton away at 7.5
  • Newcastle to beat Man U at home at 5.5

Continue reading →

Update: Our Half-Time Strategy Success & Why Everton Are A Team To Oppose In First 45 Minutes

Posted on by Mike

In November’s Smart Betting Club magazine, one of the features were our  ‘plug and play’ strategies to apply for Half-Time football betting that historically we had found to be very profitable. You can read our original blog post about it here.

Therefore we thought it was well worth an update on just how they have been performing since then…

Our Half-Time Betting Strategy Results

Since the article was released on November 30th, Results have been excellent, with half time results going the way of the longer term trends more often than not.

In total there have been 18 bets since that date, with a profit of 13.88 pts at 1pt level stakes.

This has brought the total figure made since the start of 2011/12 season to the following:

Bets: 79
Staked: 79
Profit: +31.74
ROI: 40%.

To put this into financial figures, at £100 stakes you would have staked £7900 and made a profit of £3174 from just 79 bets. Continue reading →

Update: Our Half-Time Strategy Success & Why Everton Are A Team To Oppose In First 45 Minutes

Posted on by Mike

In November’s Smart Betting Club magazine, one of the features were our  ‘plug and play’ strategies to apply for Half-Time football betting that historically we had found to be very profitable. You can read our original blog post about it here.

Therefore we thought it was well worth an update on just how they have been performing since then…

Our Half-Time Betting Strategy Results

Since the article was released on November 30th, Results have been excellent, with half time results going the way of the longer term trends more often than not.

In total there have been 18 bets since that date, with a profit of 13.88 pts at 1pt level stakes.

This has brought the total figure made since the start of 2011/12 season to the following:

Bets: 79
Staked: 79
Profit: +31.74
ROI: 40%.

To put this into financial figures, at £100 stakes you would have staked £7900 and made a profit of £3174 from just 79 bets. Continue reading →

Festive Footy Betting Strategies To Tackle

Posted on by Mike

The festive football calendar is a tough slog for British teams with the packed fixture list offering a season within a season. It can make or break a campaign for the best and worst teams in the league.

This period can also bring a bumper crop of betting profits for those in the know. Indeed, many pro punters can make their season’s profits during this busy period as the result of some closely guarded insider knowledge.

To help unearth the secrets of the festive season, football expert and SBC contributor Greg Gordon has been picking the brains of the football analysts from Form Lab Black to reveal some of the best festive betting trends. Continue reading →

Yet More Half Time Betting Strategies To Use

Posted on by Mike

It may be an old football cliché, but ‘a game of two halves’ is one of the little known yet best ways to turn a higher profit from your bets on the beautiful game.

It’s one reason why more and more punters are paying attention to the different half time or full time betting markets and today I want to show you exactly why.

Nowadays we’re all feeling the strain, but the good news is that the bookmakers are too!

The half time betting market is a classic example of where over worked odds compilers might be missing a trick. For many firms, the half time betting odds are based on the full time odds. This does make sense to a point , but it doesn’t take into account the fact that some teams only really get going in the second half.

Why Stoke Are A Classic Half-Time Team

Perhaps one of the best examples we have found refers to Stoke City, who away from home in their last 20 games, have an amazing trend of never having been in the lead come the half-time whistle. Continue reading →

The Niche Bets That Turned £1000 into £1714.50 In Just Over 2 Months

Posted on by Mike

One of the best ways to get one over on the bookmaker, is to take them on in events they know precious little about, or simply don’t have the time to research properly.

We call this ‘niche betting’, whereby you develop more expertise in a very specific area of betting – and in doing so, are able to spot when the bookies prices are wrong.

One such proven niche betting expert is a chap who goes by the name of Skeeve, who despite hailing from Eastern Europe – is now a renowned expert on non-league football in England.

It may sound bizarre that someone so far away can be clued up on the fact Braintree are missing a key midfielder or that Chelmsford’s on-loan star is suspended due a sending off in the Hampshire Senior Cup, but it’s true. Continue reading →

Will The Premier League Goal Fest Continue?

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts from the excellent Form Lab software analyse the current Premier League goal glut

Football pundits are falling over themselves to explain how the recent goal fest proves that the Premiership is the best league in the world. With eight goals in the recent London derby and seven goals at the Manchester derby, football fans have certainly been getting their money’s worth.

While many now point to this as being the start of a golden season, the reality is that this season is more likely to be simply…..average. Let us show you why.

The first 10 weeks…

In the 99 games seen so far in the Premier League, there has been an average of 2.97 Goals Per Game (GPG). This is comfortably above the 2.59 GPG average for this point in the season, but still below the record average of 3.00 GPG for the first 10 weeks in 2009/10. Continue reading →

Are Man United more dangerous after a shock defeat?

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts from the excellent Form Lab software analyse over performing teams in major European leagues.

Manchester United didn’t just lose against Man City, they were demolished. They suffered their worst home defeat last weekend since the formation of the Premier League, and in the process drifted out to 2/1 second-favourites to be lifting the trophy in May.

A popular theory is that this makes United more dangerous to their opponents in their next game because they are looking to avenge their loss.

But is this true?

We have examined the data across Europe’s Big 5 leagues to find out if there are any trends that might point to an instant return to form for United this weekend against Everton. Continue reading →